(Photo: Imago)
(Photo: Imago)

Portsmouth v Hull result predicted by supercomputer

Dan Godfrey

Dan is a sports writer and broadcaster, who wrote for Breaking Media Limited's club sites including Pompey News between May 2024 and May 2025. Graduating from the University of Huddersfield in 2018 with First Class Honours in Sports Journalism, Dan has worked with several EFL clubs, as well as with BBC Radio, talkSPORT and TNT Sports. He previously resided in Sydney, Australia, where he continued his career as a freelancer in various sports. Dan was born and raised in Portsmouth, comes from a Pompey-supporting family, and was in attendance at both of the club's FA Cup finals in 2008 and 2010.

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Portsmouth are one match away from a well-earned summer rest, but will play in front of the Fratton faithful one final time when Hull City visit this weekend.

The Tigers' situation is in stark contrast to that of Pompey, who secured Championship survival over the Easter weekend and are now four unbeaten.

Hull must avoid defeat to sustain any chance of avoiding League One football next season, making their trip south while sat third-bottom of the table.

All Championship games on the final day (3 May) will kick off at 12:30pm, with eight of the 12 fixtures offering a crucial permutation on the league by the final whistle.

It's been an arduous but successful first season back in the Championship for Portsmouth (Credit: Imago)
It's been an arduous but successful first season back in the Championship for Portsmouth (Credit: Imago)

Portsmouth predicted to beat Hull despite relegation battle

Portsmouth head into the final day 16th in the Championship table with a five-point gap to Hull, who occupy the first relegation place.

Realistically, with Cardiff City relegated and Plymouth Argyle's goal difference costing them dearly, only one of Hull, Luton, Derby, Preston and Stoke will face the drop by around 5pm on Saturday.

Ruben Selles' side are desperate to win, but the Opta supercomputer has still projected a 45.6 per cent chance as of Thursday (1 May) for Pompey to come out on top, which would relegate Hull.

The Humbersiders have been offered a probability of 27.6 per cent to get their job done with three points, while a draw is ranked at 26.8 per cent.

The favour towards Portsmouth despite the circumstances of the clash comes down primarily to an impressive home record at Fratton, which has provided the spine Mousinho's men have needed to beat the drop themselves.

Fratton Park
The Fratton faithful gather for the final time this season (Credit: Imago)

Pompey could still finish mid-table

Whether or not 16th is considered mid-table is subjective - but Portsmouth could see their final position as high as 13th depending on results across the country.

It is a remarkable achievement regardless for Mousinho's men, who could alternatively finish as low as 18th - but it still ranks higher than Pompey's position for large swathes of the season.

Portsmouth - league positionEnd of each month
18thAugust
23rdSeptember
24thOctober
24thNovember
23rdDecember
18thJanuary
17thFebruary
17thMarch
16thApril
Pompey improved after Christmas to secure safety

The Blues have dug in when needed most, and have finally been able to breathe a sigh of relief. For Hull, it could not be more different.

If there's one thing the Championship finale guarantees, it's drama - we await to find out whether a huge slice of that will come at Fratton Park.

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